Pablo Hernández de Cos
Implied probability 42%
24-hour volume$0
Total volume$3k
Liquidity$3k
Resolves8 Jan 2028
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 42% |
| 28 Oct, 12:33 UTC | 42% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Pablo Hernández de Cos officially becomes President of the European Central Bank before January 1, 2028. It resolves to No if he does not hold that position by the deadline or if someone else held it first after the market launched. Readers often mistake the announcement date for the official start date, but only formal assumption of office counts.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 42%
- No 58%