Klaas Knot
Why it moved: −6 points at 05:16 UTC, after News Feed: Transcript of an interview with Klaas Knot — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 34% |
| 9 Nov, 05:16 UTC | 34% |
| 8 Nov, 04:57 UTC | 40% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Klaas Knot officially becomes President of the European Central Bank before January 1, 2028. It resolves to No if he does not hold that specific position by that deadline. Readers often mistake the announcement date for the official start date, but only the formal assumption of office counts.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 34%
- No 66%