No other person
Implied probability 42%−4
24-hour volume$213
Total volume$18k
Liquidity$18k
Resolves20 Jan 2029
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 42% |
| 6 Nov, 20:02 UTC | 42% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if the next Secretary of Defense appointed before January 20, 2029, is not Katie Zacharia or any other specific individual previously named in the context. It resolves to No if that person is indeed Katie Zacharia or another designated individual. Readers often mistakenly believe the deadline refers to the start of her term rather than the appointment date.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 42%
- No 58%