a new Xbox video game console
Implied probability 10%
24-hour volume$0
Total volume$49k
Liquidity$49k
Resolves1 Jan 2027
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 10% |
| 29 Sept, 09:59 UTC | 10% |
| 27 Sept, 16:23 UTC | 8% |
| 26 Sept, 15:48 UTC | 12% |
| 26 Sept, 00:08 UTC | 8% |
| 25 Sept, 14:32 UTC | 14% |
| 25 Sept, 05:43 UTC | 8% |
| 24 Sept, 22:07 UTC | 11% |
| 24 Sept, 16:18 UTC | 7% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
Email me when the odds move
What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Microsoft releases a new Xbox console to the public before January 1, 2027. Otherwise, it resolves to No. Readers often mistake the linked job cuts for a release announcement, but only an actual public launch counts.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 10%
- No 90%