John Waldron
Implied probability 79%+20
24-hour volume$407
Total volume$1k
Liquidity$1k
Resolves31 Dec 2035
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 79% |
| 29 Sept, 06:12 UTC | 80% |
| 28 Sept, 05:14 UTC | 59% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The outcome is Yes if John Waldron becomes CEO of Goldman Sachs before December 31, 2035. The outcome is No if he does not take that role by that date. Readers often mistake the linked news story about a lack of timeline as proof that he will never become CEO.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 79%
- No 21%