Pietro Parolin
Implied probability 6%
24-hour volume$0
Total volume$25k
Liquidity$25k
Resolves1 Jan 2070
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 6% |
| 10 Oct, 23:57 UTC | 6% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The outcome is Yes if Pietro Parolin is elected Pope before January 1, 2070. The outcome is No if he is not elected by that date. Readers often mistake the deadline for the end of his papacy rather than the specific calendar year.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 6%
- No 94%