5+ wins
Why it moved: +15 points at 20:42 UTC, after feeds.bleacherreport.com: Bill Belichick Puts Ex-UNC Players on Blast After 1st Ranked Win as HC — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 88% |
| 12 Oct, 20:42 UTC | 88% |
| 7 Oct, 07:20 UTC | 73% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The outcome is Yes if the University of North Carolina football team secures five or more victories during the 2026 regular season. The outcome is No if the team finishes with fewer than five wins in that same period. Readers often mistake the deadline, assuming the count includes postseason games rather than strictly the regular season.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 88%
- No 12%