6+ wins
Implied probability 88%−1
24-hour volume$79
Total volume$8k
Liquidity$8k
Resolves20 Dec 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 88% |
| 12 Oct, 18:22 UTC | 88% |
| 12 Oct, 05:00 UTC | 86% |
| 11 Oct, 19:52 UTC | 89% |
| 10 Oct, 18:52 UTC | 77% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
Email me when the odds move
What counts
The market resolves to Yes if the Kentucky college football team achieves at least six victories during the 2026 regular season. It resolves to No if they finish with fewer than six wins. Readers often mistake a single game result, like the SEC fine mentioned in the linked story, for the final season record.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 88%
- No 12%