5+ wins
Implied probability 69%+1
24-hour volume$103
Total volume$14k
Liquidity$14k
Resolves20 Dec 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 69% |
| 25 Sept, 14:16 UTC | 69% |
| 24 Sept, 13:59 UTC | 68% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
Email me when the odds move
What counts
The market resolves to Yes if the Kentucky college football team wins at least five games during the 2026 regular season. It resolves to No if the team wins fewer than five games in that same period. Readers often mistake the deadline, thinking it depends on postseason play or a different year.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 69%
- No 31%