4+ wins
Implied probability 55%
24-hour volume$0
Total volume$6k
Liquidity$6k
Resolves20 Dec 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 55% |
| 20 Oct, 05:47 UTC | 55% |
| 19 Oct, 03:09 UTC | 54% |
| 17 Oct, 06:27 UTC | 51% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
Email me when the odds move
What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Stanford’s college football team records at least four victories during the 2026 regular season. It resolves to No if the team finishes that season with fewer than four wins. Readers often mistake the linked game result for the final count, but only the total wins from the entire 2026 regular season determine the outcome.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 55%
- No 45%