7+ wins
Why it moved: +22 points at 05:03 UTC, after www.espn.com: Northwestern opens 'electric' Ryan Field with upset of Penn State — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 83% |
| 3 Oct, 06:19 UTC | 83% |
| 3 Oct, 05:03 UTC | 77% |
| 2 Oct, 04:50 UTC | 55% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
Email me when the odds move
What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Northwestern's college football team secures at least seven wins during the 2026 regular season. It resolves to No if they achieve fewer than seven wins in that same period. Readers often mistake the deadline, thinking it applies to postseason games or a different year.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 83%
- No 17%