5+ wins
Implied probability 8%+3
24-hour volume$0
Total volume$19k
Liquidity$19k
Resolves20 Dec 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 8% |
| 31 Oct, 22:57 UTC | 8% |
| 31 Oct, 09:24 UTC | 5% |
| 31 Oct, 06:43 UTC | 9% |
| 31 Oct, 05:26 UTC | 5% |
| 30 Oct, 19:27 UTC | 9% |
| 30 Oct, 18:10 UTC | 6% |
| 30 Oct, 17:41 UTC | 5% |
| 29 Oct, 20:16 UTC | 10% |
| 29 Oct, 13:22 UTC | 11% |
| 26 Oct, 00:54 UTC | 9% |
| 25 Oct, 18:11 UTC | 13% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
Alert me when the odds move
What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Michigan State achieves five or more victories during the 2026 college football regular season. It resolves to No if the team finishes with fewer than five wins. Readers often mistake the deadline, thinking the count includes postseason bowl games rather than just the regular season.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 8%
- No 92%