11+ wins
Implied probability 69%−2
24-hour volume$0
Total volume$24k
Liquidity$24k
Resolves20 Dec 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 69% |
| 15 Oct, 20:45 UTC | 69% |
| 14 Oct, 20:31 UTC | 71% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if the Miami (FL) college football team achieves at least 11 wins during the 2026 regular season. It resolves to No if they fall short of that win total. Readers often mistake the deadline, thinking it applies to the entire season rather than just the regular season.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 69%
- No 31%