6+ wins
Why it moved: −7 points at 23:00 UTC, after www.espn.com: Locksley vows to get Maryland 'fixed' after 54-3 drubbing by UCLA — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 47% |
| 26 Sept, 23:00 UTC | 47% |
| 25 Sept, 22:36 UTC | 54% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if the Maryland college football team wins at least six games during the 2026 regular season. It resolves to No if they win fewer than six games. Readers often mistake the resolution deadline, which is determined by the end of the 2026 regular season, not the calendar year.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 47%
- No 53%