9+ wins
Why it moved: −7 points at 04:54 UTC, after www.espn.com: Norvell shoulders blame as FSU authors another 'extremely poor performance' — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 6% |
| 10 Oct, 04:54 UTC | 6% |
| 9 Oct, 18:49 UTC | 13% |
| 9 Oct, 11:22 UTC | 7% |
| 8 Oct, 10:26 UTC | 10% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
Email me when the odds move
What counts
The market resolves to Yes if the Louisville college football team achieves at least nine wins during the 2026 regular season. It resolves to No if they fall short of that total. Readers often mistake the deadline, thinking the count includes postseason games rather than just the regular season.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 6%
- No 94%