Texas
Implied probability 19%+5
24-hour volume$9k
Total volume$32k
Liquidity$32k
Resolves28 Dec 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 19% |
| 26 Sept, 21:32 UTC | 23% |
| 26 Sept, 21:24 UTC | 19% |
| 26 Sept, 20:04 UTC | 21% |
| 26 Sept, 19:56 UTC | 12% |
| 26 Sept, 19:16 UTC | 11% |
| 26 Sept, 18:59 UTC | 10% |
| 26 Sept, 16:56 UTC | 12% |
| 26 Sept, 14:10 UTC | 11% |
| 26 Sept, 04:45 UTC | 12% |
| 26 Sept, 03:38 UTC | 11% |
| 26 Sept, 01:37 UTC | 12% |
| 26 Sept, 00:17 UTC | 13% |
| 25 Sept, 19:03 UTC | 14% |
| 25 Sept, 17:52 UTC | 15% |
| 25 Sept, 16:19 UTC | 14% |
| 25 Sept, 12:04 UTC | 15% |
| 24 Sept, 11:34 UTC | 14% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
Email me when the odds move
What counts
Texas must win every game during the 2026 college football regular season for the market to resolve to Yes. Any loss results in a No outcome. Readers often mistake the linked story about Tennessee as relevant, but only Texas's own record matters.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 19%
- No 81%