Michigan
Implied probability 84%
24-hour volume$3k
Total volume$4k
Liquidity$4k
Resolves20 Oct 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 84% |
| 26 Sept, 04:00 UTC | 84% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Michigan ranks in the top 25 of the College Football AP Poll released on September 27, 2026. It resolves to No if the team falls outside that ranking at that time. Readers often mistake the release date for a different week or assume earlier rankings count.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 84%
- No 16%