Oregon wins by over 2.5 points
Implied probability 55%−1
24-hour volume$7k
Total volume$35k
Liquidity$35k
Resolves28 Sept 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 55% |
| 24 Sept, 23:39 UTC | 54% |
| 24 Sept, 22:31 UTC | 55% |
| 24 Sept, 20:52 UTC | 55% |
| 23 Sept, 18:32 UTC | 56% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
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What counts
Oregon must win its September 26, 2026 game against USC by at least three points for the outcome to be Yes. The margin is calculated using the final official score of that specific matchup. Readers often mistake a narrow victory or a different opponent's result as satisfying the condition.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 55%
- No 45%