Oregon
Why it moved: −8 points at 20:24 UTC, after feeds.bleacherreport.com: CFP Committee Reportedly Will Add Strength-of Conference Metric to Bracket Selection Process — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 13% |
| 24 Sept, 20:24 UTC | 13% |
| 23 Sept, 19:41 UTC | 21% |
Your call. How does this end?
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What counts
The outcome is Yes if the University of Oregon reaches the College Football Playoff Semifinals during the 2026-27 season. The outcome is No if the team fails to reach that stage within that specific timeframe. Readers often mistake the linked news story about conference scheduling rules for the actual qualification criteria, but only semifinal appearance matters.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 13%
- No 87%