James Madison
Implied probability 1%−24
24-hour volume$101
Total volume$2k
Liquidity$2k
Resolves7 Feb 2027
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 1% |
| 23 Oct, 04:24 UTC | 1% |
| 22 Oct, 03:16 UTC | 25% |
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if James Madison is selected as the #12 seed in the 2026-27 College Football Playoff. Otherwise, it resolves to No. Readers often mistake the linked story about an overtime win for a resolution trigger, but only the official playoff seeding matters.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 1%
- No 99%