Texas
Implied probability 35%
24-hour volume$932
Total volume$96k
Liquidity$96k
Resolves29 Dec 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 35% |
| 21 Oct, 22:17 UTC | 35% |
| 21 Oct, 21:41 UTC | 38% |
| 21 Oct, 19:54 UTC | 35% |
| 21 Oct, 16:36 UTC | 36% |
| 20 Oct, 23:07 UTC | 35% |
| 20 Oct, 22:59 UTC | 36% |
| 20 Oct, 20:17 UTC | 35% |
| 20 Oct, 19:07 UTC | 37% |
| 18 Oct, 20:53 UTC | 35% |
| 18 Oct, 19:38 UTC | 36% |
| 18 Oct, 18:22 UTC | 37% |
| 18 Oct, 15:59 UTC | 38% |
| 18 Oct, 05:49 UTC | 39% |
| 18 Oct, 04:43 UTC | 35% |
| 18 Oct, 03:23 UTC | 39% |
| 18 Oct, 01:23 UTC | 37% |
| 17 Oct, 19:44 UTC | 33% |
| 16 Oct, 19:33 UTC | 69% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
Email me when the odds move
What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Texas qualifies for the College Football Playoffs. It resolves to No if Texas does not qualify. Readers often mistake a single game result or regular-season standing for playoff qualification.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 35%
- No 65%