Texas
Implied probability 76%
24-hour volume$20k
Total volume$62k
Liquidity$62k
Resolves12 Oct 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 76% |
| 4 Oct, 22:57 UTC | 75% |
| 4 Oct, 22:17 UTC | 76% |
| 4 Oct, 21:50 UTC | 77% |
| 4 Oct, 19:46 UTC | 77% |
| 4 Oct, 17:20 UTC | 76% |
| 4 Oct, 07:12 UTC | 77% |
| 4 Oct, 04:45 UTC | 76% |
| 4 Oct, 03:34 UTC | 78% |
| 4 Oct, 02:23 UTC | 77% |
| 3 Oct, 22:43 UTC | 76% |
| 3 Oct, 21:30 UTC | 72% |
| 3 Oct, 20:17 UTC | 73% |
| 3 Oct, 17:49 UTC | 77% |
| 3 Oct, 16:32 UTC | 76% |
| 3 Oct, 15:20 UTC | 77% |
| 3 Oct, 10:10 UTC | 78% |
| 3 Oct, 06:19 UTC | 77% |
| 3 Oct, 05:03 UTC | 78% |
| 3 Oct, 03:44 UTC | 77% |
| 2 Oct, 03:34 UTC | 79% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
Email me when the odds move
What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Texas wins the college football game against Oklahoma originally scheduled for October 10, 2026. It resolves to No if Texas does not win that specific game. Readers often mistake the resolution source or deadline, but only the official result of this particular matchup matters.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 76%
- No 24%