Before Feb 1, 2027
Why it moved: +39 points at 20:57 UTC, after CBS Sports Headlines: Florida State fires Mike Norvell: Big buyout can't save Seminoles coach after disastrous three-year stretch — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 99% |
| 1 Nov, 20:57 UTC | 99% |
| 31 Oct, 20:43 UTC | 60% |
Does the market have this right?
Email me when the odds move
What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Florida State's head coach departs or announces his departure before February 1, 2027. It resolves to No if he remains in the role past that date. Readers often mistake the linked news story as the final trigger, but the resolution depends strictly on the official confirmation of his leaving within the specified timeframe.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 99%
- No 1%