Texas
Why it moved: +3 points at 19:56 UTC, after www.espn.com: Horns' Simmons flagged for miming urinating on field after sack — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 15% |
| 26 Sept, 23:34 UTC | 13% |
| 26 Sept, 21:32 UTC | 15% |
| 26 Sept, 21:24 UTC | 16% |
| 26 Sept, 19:56 UTC | 18% |
| 26 Sept, 18:26 UTC | 15% |
| 26 Sept, 16:48 UTC | 14% |
| 26 Sept, 13:50 UTC | 13% |
| 26 Sept, 10:50 UTC | 15% |
| 26 Sept, 09:24 UTC | 14% |
| 26 Sept, 01:37 UTC | 15% |
| 26 Sept, 00:08 UTC | 14% |
| 25 Sept, 16:37 UTC | 15% |
| 25 Sept, 12:57 UTC | 14% |
| 24 Sept, 03:00 UTC | 12% |
| 24 Sept, 01:51 UTC | 13% |
| 24 Sept, 00:41 UTC | 15% |
| 23 Sept, 18:25 UTC | 14% |
| 23 Sept, 15:54 UTC | 12% |
| 23 Sept, 14:40 UTC | 14% |
| 23 Sept, 09:28 UTC | 12% |
| 23 Sept, 07:27 UTC | 14% |
| 22 Sept, 06:59 UTC | 15% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
Email me when the odds move
What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Texas wins the College Football Playoff National Championship Game. It resolves to No if Texas does not win that specific game. Readers often mistake any other victory or the linked penalty story for the resolution criteria.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 15%
- No 85%