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Donovan Mitchell

Implied probability 12%−4
24-hour volume$200
Total volume$2k
Liquidity$2k
Resolves12 Feb 2027

Why it moved: −4 points at 18:27 UTC, after SI Feed: Donovan Mitchell Had This To Say About James Harden's Leadership — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.

How the odds moved · Donovan Mitchell
0%50%100%12%7 Oct, 17:20 UTCnow
Price data
TimeChance of yes
now12%
8 Oct, 18:27 UTC12%
7 Oct, 17:20 UTC16%

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Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls

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What counts

The market resolves to Yes if Donovan Mitchell is traded between issuance and February 12, 2027. It resolves to No if he remains with his current team through that date. Readers often mistake the linked news story about defending James Harden as the resolution trigger, but only a trade counts.

Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.

Outcomes

  • Yes 12%
  • No 88%

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