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Before the 2027-28 season

Implied probability 36%−10
24-hour volume$11
Total volume$7k
Liquidity$7k
Resolves15 Nov 2027

Why it moved: −11 points at 17:27 UTC, after SI Feed: Nuggets Draft Picks: Full List of Every Selection in 2027, 2028 & Beyond — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.

How the odds moved · Before the 2027-28 season
0%50%100%36%23 Sept, 17:09 UTCnow
Price data
TimeChance of yes
now36%
24 Sept, 17:27 UTC36%
23 Sept, 17:09 UTC47%

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What counts

The outcome is Yes if LeBron James officially announces his retirement from the NBA before the start of the 2027-28 season. The outcome is No if he does not make such an announcement by that deadline. Readers often mistake news reports or rumors for an official retirement announcement.

Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.

Outcomes

  • Yes 36%
  • No 64%

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