15+ inside-the-park home runs
Why it moved: +39 points at 22:24 UTC, after The Verge: Out of the Park Baseball lets me enjoy baseball even when the Mets suck — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 99% |
| 27 Sept, 22:24 UTC | 99% |
| 26 Sept, 22:11 UTC | 60% |
Does the market have this right?
Email me when the odds move
What counts
The market resolves to Yes if batters hit at least 15 inside-the-park home runs during the entire 2026 Pro Baseball season, including both regular games and playoffs. It resolves to No if that total is not reached by the end of those games. Readers often mistake the linked story about a video game for the actual source of truth, but only real-world baseball statistics count.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 99%
- No 1%