Pat Murphy
Why it moved: +14 points at 05:14 UTC, after SI Feed: What Pat Murphy Said After Brewers Clinch World Series Berth — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 93% |
| 16 Oct, 05:14 UTC | 93% |
| 16 Oct, 04:29 UTC | 80% |
| 15 Oct, 03:50 UTC | 76% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Pat Murphy is named the National League Manager of the Year for the 2026 baseball season. It resolves to No if he does not receive this specific award during that year. Readers often mistake the linked story about the Brewers reaching the World Series as the deciding factor, but only the official Manager of the Year award matters.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 93%
- No 7%