Philadelphia
Why it moved: +4 points at 22:24 UTC, after www.espn.com: Phillies exhale, top Rays to secure NL's final wild-card berth — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 22% |
| 27 Sept, 22:24 UTC | 22% |
| 26 Sept, 22:12 UTC | 18% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if the Philadelphia team qualifies for the National League Championship Series during the 2026 baseball season. It resolves to No if they do not qualify by the end of that season. Readers often mistake clinching a wild-card spot as sufficient, but only advancement to the championship series counts.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 22%
- No 78%