Philadelphia
Implied probability 12%−5
24-hour volume$543
Total volume$3k
Liquidity$3k
Resolves8 Nov 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 12% |
| 29 Sept, 22:30 UTC | 12% |
| 29 Sept, 21:17 UTC | 14% |
| 29 Sept, 20:42 UTC | 17% |
| 29 Sept, 20:11 UTC | 16% |
| 29 Sept, 17:41 UTC | 17% |
| 29 Sept, 17:16 UTC | 16% |
| 29 Sept, 15:24 UTC | 17% |
| 29 Sept, 05:53 UTC | 16% |
| 28 Sept, 19:18 UTC | 17% |
| 28 Sept, 12:49 UTC | 18% |
| 27 Sept, 22:24 UTC | 22% |
| 26 Sept, 22:12 UTC | 18% |
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if the Philadelphia team qualifies for the National League Championship Series during the 2026 baseball season. It resolves to No if they do not qualify by the end of that season. Readers often mistake clinching a wild-card spot as sufficient, but only advancement to the championship series counts.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 12%
- No 88%