Stephen Vogt
Implied probability 4%
24-hour volume$0
Total volume$26k
Liquidity$26k
Resolves8 Dec 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 4% |
| 21 Oct, 23:00 UTC | 4% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The outcome is Yes if Stephen Vogt wins the American League Manager of the Year award for the 2026 season. The outcome is No if he does not win that specific award in that year. Readers often mistake the linked story about his contract status as relevant to the award, but only the official award result matters.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 4%
- No 96%