Mike Rogers
Implied probability 30%+3
24-hour volume$28k
Total volume$1.1M
Liquidity$1.1M
Resolves3 Nov 2027
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 30% |
| 7 Oct, 17:59 UTC | 30% |
| 7 Oct, 17:23 UTC | 29% |
| 7 Oct, 16:48 UTC | 30% |
| 7 Oct, 16:15 UTC | 29% |
| 7 Oct, 15:55 UTC | 28% |
| 7 Oct, 15:24 UTC | 29% |
| 7 Oct, 14:11 UTC | 28% |
| 7 Oct, 12:50 UTC | 29% |
| 5 Oct, 17:51 UTC | 28% |
| 5 Oct, 16:33 UTC | 29% |
| 5 Oct, 12:50 UTC | 30% |
| 5 Oct, 06:36 UTC | 29% |
| 5 Oct, 05:24 UTC | 28% |
| 5 Oct, 03:00 UTC | 30% |
| 5 Oct, 01:48 UTC | 31% |
| 4 Oct, 23:25 UTC | 30% |
| 4 Oct, 19:46 UTC | 31% |
| 3 Oct, 15:20 UTC | 30% |
| 3 Oct, 01:14 UTC | 31% |
| 1 Oct, 03:19 UTC | 27% |
| 1 Oct, 02:00 UTC | 28% |
| 1 Oct, 00:44 UTC | 27% |
| 30 Sept, 21:08 UTC | 28% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
Email me when the odds move
What counts
The outcome is Yes if Mike Rogers wins the 2026 Michigan Senate race. The outcome is No if he does not win. Readers often mistake the linked news story for a prediction of the final result rather than just one event in the campaign.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 30%
- No 70%