Above 10.60M
Implied probability 36%−2
24-hour volume$100
Total volume$4k
Liquidity$4k
Resolves3 Nov 2027
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 36% |
| 24 Sept, 16:18 UTC | 36% |
| 23 Sept, 16:00 UTC | 38% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if the total vote count for all candidates in the Texas Senate General Election exceeds 10,600,000. It resolves to No if that total is 10,600,000 or less. Readers often mistake this deadline for the voter-registration backlog mentioned in the linked story, but only the final election vote count matters.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 36%
- No 64%