Johnson, 2+ pts
Implied probability 6%−1
24-hour volume$313
Total volume$2k
Liquidity$2k
Resolves3 Nov 2027
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 6% |
| 4 Nov, 03:03 UTC | 6% |
| 3 Nov, 01:59 UTC | 7% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The outcome is Yes if the Democratic Party wins the 2026 South Carolina gubernatorial election by a margin of at least two percentage points. The outcome is No if the Democratic Party wins by less than two percentage points or loses the race. Readers often mistake the required margin, thinking any win counts rather than specifically a victory of 2% or more.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 6%
- No 94%