Ramaswamy, 3+ pts
Implied probability 29%
24-hour volume$0
Total volume$3k
Liquidity$3k
Resolves3 Nov 2027
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 29% |
| 26 Sept, 12:22 UTC | 29% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The outcome is Yes if the Republican candidate wins the 2026 Ohio gubernatorial election by a margin of at least 3 percentage points. The outcome is No if the Republican candidate wins by less than 3 percentage points or loses the election entirely. Readers often mistake the required margin, thinking any Republican victory counts rather than specifically a win of 3 points or more.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 29%
- No 71%