Salazar, 6+ pts
Implied probability 9%
24-hour volume$0
Total volume$34k
Liquidity$34k
Resolves3 Nov 2027
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 9% |
| 10 Nov, 23:50 UTC | 9% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
Alert me when the odds move
What counts
The market resolves to Yes if the Republican Party wins Florida's 27th District by a margin of at least 6 percentage points in the 2026 U.S. House election. Otherwise, it resolves to No. Readers often mistake the linked news headline for the resolution criteria, but only the official 2026 election results determine the outcome.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 9%
- No 91%