Elijah, 2+ pts
Implied probability 2%
24-hour volume$0
Total volume$4k
Liquidity$4k
Resolves3 Nov 2027
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 2% |
| 8 Nov, 20:01 UTC | 2% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if the Republican Party wins Florida’s 7th District race by a margin of at least two percentage points in the 2026 U.S. House election. It resolves to No if that party loses or wins by less than two points. Readers often mistake the linked news headline for the final result, but only the official certified election outcome determines the resolution.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 2%
- No 98%