Ciscomani, 5+ pts
Implied probability 8%
24-hour volume$0
Total volume$2k
Liquidity$2k
Resolves3 Nov 2027
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 8% |
| 4 Oct, 14:54 UTC | 8% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if the Republican Party wins Arizona’s 2026 House election in the 6th District by a margin of at least five percentage points. Otherwise, it resolves to No. Readers often mistake the source of truth for general polling data instead of the official certified election results.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 8%
- No 92%