Republican party wins
Implied probability 31%
24-hour volume$0
Total volume$86k
Liquidity$86k
Resolves1 Jan 2027
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 31% |
| 23 Sept, 17:39 UTC | 31% |
| 22 Sept, 16:54 UTC | 32% |
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What counts
The outcome is Yes if a Republican wins the general election and the Democratic nominee is Graham Platner before January 2027. The outcome is No if either condition fails within that timeframe. Readers often mistake the linked news story for the final result, but only the official election winner and confirmed nominee matter.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 31%
- No 69%