Yes
Why it moved: −38 points at 15:16 UTC, after Live Feed: Jeremy Renner’s ‘Mayor of Kingstown’ Gets a Season 5 Update — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 17% |
| 20 Oct, 19:14 UTC | 17% |
| 20 Oct, 15:51 UTC | 30% |
| 20 Oct, 15:16 UTC | 25% |
| 19 Oct, 14:18 UTC | 63% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
Email me when the odds move
What counts
The market resolves to Yes if *Mayor of Kingstown* Season 5 airs worldwide on official channels before January 1, 2027. It resolves to No if that specific release does not happen within the deadline. Readers often mistake a premiere announcement for an actual broadcast date.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 17%
- No 83%