Álvaro Arbeloa
Why it moved: −18 points at 17:14 UTC, after SkySports: Fulham beat Hull to earn under-pressure Arbeloa a first PL win — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 41% |
| 17 Oct, 17:14 UTC | 41% |
| 16 Oct, 14:38 UTC | 59% |
| 15 Oct, 11:16 UTC | 42% |
Your call. How does this end?
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What counts
The outcome is Yes if Álvaro Arbeloa stops being Fulham's manager before January 1, 2027. The outcome is No if he remains in that role on or after that date. Readers often mistake the linked news story about his tactical struggles for the resolution criteria, but only his official employment status matters.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 41%
- No 59%