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below $650

Implied probability 15%−3
24-hour volume$0
Total volume$4k
Liquidity$4k
Resolves25 Feb 2027

Why it moved: −3 points at 18:40 UTC, after CNET: Score a New 14-Inch M5 Pro MacBook for a Massive $600 Off Right Now — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.

How the odds moved · below $650
0%50%100%15%11 Oct, 17:19 UTCnow
Price data
TimeChance of yes
now15%
12 Oct, 18:40 UTC15%
11 Oct, 17:19 UTC18%

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Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls

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What counts

The market resolves to Yes if the lowest-priced MacBook model on Apple.com is below $650 at the specific time of November 27th, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Otherwise, it resolves to No. Readers often mistake any temporary discount or price drop for the final resolution condition.

Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.

Outcomes

  • Yes 15%
  • No 85%

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