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Jon Rahm

Implied probability 2%−14
24-hour volume$2k
Total volume$7k
Liquidity$7k
Resolves8 Apr 2027

Why it moved: −10 points at 16:42 UTC, after BBC Sport: Rahm to leave LIV Golf over 'unacceptable' terms — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.

How the odds moved · Jon Rahm
0%50%100%2%6 Oct, 16:18 UTCnow
Price data
TimeChance of yes
now2%
7 Oct, 17:52 UTC2%
7 Oct, 16:42 UTC6%
6 Oct, 16:18 UTC16%

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What counts

The outcome is Yes if Jon Rahm plays in a LIV Golf tournament between January 1 and March 31, 2027. The outcome is No if he does not play in such a tournament during that period. Readers often mistake the deadline, thinking any future departure from LIV Golf counts instead of only competing in Q1 2027.

Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.

Outcomes

  • Yes 2%
  • No 98%

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