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Xi Jinping

Implied probability 2%
24-hour volume$400
Total volume$684k
Liquidity$684k
Resolves2 Jan 2027
How the odds moved · Xi Jinping
0%50%100%2%22 Oct, 20:56 UTCnow
Price data
TimeChance of yes
now2%
23 Oct, 22:35 UTC2%
22 Oct, 20:56 UTC2%

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What counts

The outcome is Yes if Xi Jinping officially announces his intention to step down as General Secretary or actually leaves that role before January 1, 2027. Otherwise, the outcome is No. Readers often mistake a news report about him leading meetings for an announcement of departure.

Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.

Outcomes

  • Yes 2%
  • No 98%

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