Emmanuel Macron
Implied probability 8%+3
24-hour volume$154
Total volume$92k
Liquidity$92k
Resolves2 Jan 2027
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 8% |
| 18 Oct, 11:33 UTC | 8% |
| 18 Oct, 11:26 UTC | 8% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The outcome is Yes if Emmanuel Macron officially announces his intention to leave office or actually leaves as President of France before January 1, 2027. Otherwise, the outcome is No. Readers often mistake the linked news story about energy prices for a resignation announcement, but only an official departure from the presidency counts toward resolution.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 8%
- No 92%