NewsMarkets

Markets

Patrick Mahomes

Implied probability 5%−2
24-hour volume$45
Total volume$3k
Liquidity$3k
Resolves8 Feb 2027

Why it moved: −9 points at 16:19 UTC, after SI Feed: Travis Kelce Lauded Patrick Mahomes’s Clever Trick to Take Advantage of Colts’ Coin Toss Blunder — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.

How the odds moved · Patrick Mahomes
0%50%100%5%22 Sept, 15:40 UTCnow
Price data
TimeChance of yes
now5%
23 Sept, 16:19 UTC5%
22 Sept, 15:40 UTC14%

Your call. How does this end?

Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls

Email me when the odds move

We email a link to confirm first. At most one alert email every six hours; unsubscribe in one click. Privacy

What counts

The outcome is Yes if Patrick Mahomes finishes the 2026-2027 regular season with the most passing touchdowns in the NFL. The outcome is No if he does not lead the league in this category. Readers often mistake the linked story about Travis Kelce as relevant to the resolution, but only Mahomes' official regular-season stats matter.

Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.

Outcomes

  • Yes 5%
  • No 95%

Trade this market on Kalshi →

Embed this market

Paste this into any web page to show the live odds, with a link back here.

Stories on this market