Shohei Ohtani
Implied probability 1%
24-hour volume$0
Total volume$33k
Liquidity$33k
Resolves22 Oct 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 1% |
| 23 Sept, 00:30 UTC | 1% |
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The outcome is Yes if Shohei Ohtani finishes the 2026 MLB regular season with the most home runs. The outcome is No if he does not lead the league in that category. Readers often mistake a news report of an expected return from injury for confirmation of the final statistical leader.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 1%
- No 99%