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Pete Crow-Armstrong

Implied probability 46%−1
24-hour volume$842
Total volume$17k
Liquidity$17k
Resolves22 Oct 2026

Why it moved: −4 points at 18:41 UTC, after feeds.bleacherreport.com: Pete Crow-Armstrong Joins Exclusive MLB Club With 40/40 Season, Makes Cubs History — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.

How the odds moved · Pete Crow-Armstrong
0%50%100%46%23 Sept, 18:30 UTCnow
Price data
TimeChance of yes
now46%
24 Sept, 19:24 UTC46%
24 Sept, 18:41 UTC43%
23 Sept, 18:30 UTC47%

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What counts

The outcome is Yes if Pete Crow-Armstrong leads Major League Baseball in home runs during the 2026 regular season. The outcome is No if he does not lead the league in that category for that specific season. Readers often mistake the deadline, thinking the count must be complete by a certain date rather than relying on the final official standings of the 2026 regular season.

Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.

Outcomes

  • Yes 46%
  • No 54%

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