Shohei Ohtani
Implied probability 1%−2
24-hour volume$1
Total volume$21k
Liquidity$21k
Resolves22 Oct 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 1% |
| 25 Sept, 19:03 UTC | 1% |
| 24 Sept, 18:50 UTC | 3% |
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Shohei Ohtani has the lowest earned run average among all pitchers in the 2026 MLB regular season. It resolves to No if he does not lead the league in this statistic. Readers often mistake the deadline, assuming the resolution depends on playoff performance or post-season stats rather than just the regular season standings.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 1%
- No 99%