Before the start of the 2026-27 regular season
Implied probability 2%
24-hour volume$14
Total volume$3.3M
Liquidity$3.3M
Resolves31 Oct 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 2% |
| 23 Sept, 17:15 UTC | 2% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
Email me when the odds move
What counts
The market resolves to Yes if LeBron James announces his retirement before the start of the 2026-27 NBA regular season. It resolves to No if he does not make such an announcement by that date. Readers often mistake the linked ESPN article as the official confirmation, but only a direct retirement announcement from James counts.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 2%
- No 98%