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Team Europe

Implied probability 81%+10
24-hour volume$10k
Total volume$11k
Liquidity$11k
Resolves13 Oct 2026

Why it moved: −19 points at 23:29 UTC, after SkySports: Alcaraz, Mensik win doubles to put Europe 3-1 up after opening day of Laver Cup — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.

How the odds moved · Team Europe
0%50%100%81%24 Sept, 22:30 UTCnow
Price data
TimeChance of yes
now81%
26 Sept, 00:08 UTC82%
25 Sept, 23:29 UTC65%
25 Sept, 22:40 UTC84%
24 Sept, 22:30 UTC75%

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What counts

The outcome is Yes if Team Europe wins the 2026 Laver Cup, and No otherwise. Readers often mistake the current early lead shown in the linked story for a final victory. The resolution depends solely on the tournament winner, not the standings at any intermediate stage.

Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.

Outcomes

  • Yes 81%
  • No 19%

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